The invention discloses a sales forecast and replenishment method, comprising: a sales forecast method and a replenishment method. The sales forecasting method includes: obtaining historical sales data of the commodity to be forecasted, retrieving a sales forecast model based on historical sales data training and outputting forecast sales data, the sales forecast model includes a primary smoothing model, a secondary smoothing model, and a three-time season A model, the outputting the predicted sales data includes obtaining a correction coefficient of the predicted sales data. The replenishment method includes: obtaining the daily average sales volume, replenishment lead time and safety stock days based on the analysis of historical sales data and forecast sales data; calling the target inventory calculation formula, inputting the replenishment cycle, and outputting the target inventory; Take the replenishment quantity calculation formula, input the quantity of goods in stock and the quantity of goods in transit, and output the quantity of replenishment. The invention comprehensively considers various situations in commodity sales, obtains sales forecast and replenishment data more clearly and accurately, and improves sales management efficiency.