The present application provides a method, storage medium and device for predicting the
disease index of southern corn
rust, and the method comprises: predicting the seasonal epidemic progress of multiple piles of
rust spores that cause southern
rust, obtaining a growth index equation of multiple piles of rust spores, and the growth index equation of multiple piles of rust spores is used to illustrate the influence of temperature and rainfall on the growth index of multiple piles of rust spores; obtaining a corn southern rust fitness index formula according to the growth index equation of multiple piles of rust spores, and the corn southern rust fitness index formula is used to illustrate the adaptability of multiple piles of rust spores to survive in a certain area and the fitness of corn southern rust in the area when the temperature and rainfall are different. Index; from the beginning of the corn
inoculation season, assuming that the number of multiple piles of
handle rust spores in the air remains unchanged,
diffusion events will occur when the
wind speed exceeds 1 meter / second. As the cumulative
diffusion events increase, the number of multiple piles of
handle rust spores in the air changes with the
wind speed and follows the negative exponential decrease condition, fitting the
data set of
wind speed and multiple piles of
handle rust
spore growth index in the corn
inoculation season in historical years, obtaining the
diffusion index of the multiple piles of handle rust
spore growth index, and expressing the diffusion index with an exponentially decreasing function equation; according to the condition that rainfall events will cause the deposition of multiple piles of handle rust spores, fitting the multiple piles of handle rust
spore concentrations and daily average temperatures in historical years to obtain a
disease index prediction model. Through the scheme of this application, the potential distribution range of southern corn rust can be predicted, the possible time and
outbreak period of southern corn rust can be obtained, and
technical support can be provided for precise application of pesticides.