The invention discloses a method for predicting a robust fault of a random
discrete event system under observation loss, and the method comprises the following steps: constructing a random robust verifier of a random
automaton of a manufacturing
system, obtaining the state of each operation stage of the manufacturing
system and the operation and fault of the manufacturing
system, constructing an event set based on a monitoring sensor group of the manufacturing system, and predicting the fault of the random
discrete event system. The random robust verifier synchronizes an observation permanent loss scene of the adaptive event set; collecting a boundary state set of a random robust verifier; and screening a boundary state and a reachable part of a state reached by another path event string matched with the event string projection of the boundary state, outputting a
ring type of the reachable part, judging random robustness
predictability, and outputting a fault prediction result. According to the method, the problem of event observation loss caused by sensor faults,
signal transmission interference and the like in an actual scene can be effectively solved, stochastic
discrete event system fault prediction can be accurately realized, the limitation of observation loss scenes is broken through, and stochastic discrete event system fault prediction requirements are met.