The invention belongs to the technical field of oil and gas
field development, and particularly relates to an adaptive adjustment method and
management system for perforation water control, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining oil layer geological parameters, fluid properties and water invasion condition data; constructing a dynamic model according to the oil reservoir data, performing analysis according to the dynamic model and the water invasion prediction model, and determining a water invasion
risk level according to an analysis result in combination with a dynamic
weight distribution algorithm; according to the water invasion
risk level and the mining target, perforation parameters are optimized in combination with a
genetic algorithm, optimized perforation parameters are obtained, and according to the optimized perforation parameters, a water invasion path is simulated in combination with environmental parameters and an
ant colony foraging
algorithm, and a corresponding water prevention and control strategy is formulated; and according to the water control strategy, monitoring the dynamic change of the oil layer and the water
control effect, adjusting parameters and strategies in time, feeding back data, and updating the water control strategy
knowledge base. Therefore, the problems of lagging
risk assessment, extensive perforation parameters, single prevention and control strategy, lack of closed-loop feedback and the like in the prior art are solved.