The invention relates to the field of
transformer overload control, in particular to a method and
system for dynamically evaluating the overload capacity of a
transformer, and the method comprises the steps: firstly, precisely extracting
load step features and eliminating interference through a high-precision collection and sliding window differential
verification technology; then, operating a finite-state
machine based on a fluid dynamics principle, and switching among three
modes of steady-state
coupling, inertial decoupling and linear
recovery according to load change; especially, a decoupling mode is entered during load
impact, adiabatic temperature rise is utilized to deduce and replace lagged actually measured top
oil temperature, and the problem of calculation
distortion of a traditional model during oil flow lagging is effectively solved. In addition, the
system executes double-thread calculation of the
standard model and the inertial sensing model in parallel, outputs the final hot spot temperature through the maximum arbitration logic, and deduces the remaining allowable
operation time according to the final hot spot temperature so as to generate a protection
control signal. According to the invention, the evaluation accuracy and the
operation safety of the
transformer under the short-time overload condition are obviously improved.