A
risk index-based dynamic safety assessment method for power systems, including establishing a
risk model based on the probability of the expected accident and the
impact of the expected accident, screening and sorting the expected accidents, and obtaining the dominant expected accident set; Carry out load flow analysis calculation and
record the
voltage of all nodes in the
system for the leading anticipated accident V and
voltage phase angle δ ; Based on the polynomial form of the transient
stability margin and the obtained
power flow data, calculate the probability distribution of the transient
stability margin and its mean and standard deviation; based on the established
risk model, use the probability distribution of the transient
stability margin and The severity function calculates the
risk index of the expected accident; based on the
risk index sought, the corresponding
preventive control and
emergency control measures are taken. The method of the present invention considers the uncertainty of load prediction, quantitatively combines the probability and severity of accidents, which are two factors that determine
system safety, and can comprehensively reflect the
impact of accidents on the entire power
system, thereby better coordinating The relationship between the safety and economy of power system operation.