This application discloses a method and
system for determining
pollution causes based on the correlation between
atmospheric diffusion conditions and emission contributions, relating to the field of
atmospheric pollution cause identification. The method includes: aligning meteorological, emission, and
receptor observations to a unified spatiotemporal reference to obtain multi-source
baseline data; calculating a
diffusion stability index characterizing
vertical mixing and horizontal transport using meteorological monitoring, generating time-varying
diffusion condition weights; generating a time-response
diffusion kernel from the emission source to the
receptor point using a diffusion model under unit emission conditions, and constructing diffusion-contribution correlation information with observed concentrations to characterize the temporal
coupling strength; establishing a diffusion-contribution dynamic optimization model, using diffusion condition weights to constrain the
coupling relationship, and iteratively solving for time-varying contribution coefficients based on the convergence target of simulated and observed concentrations, outputting the dynamic contribution of each source and the
pollution cause. Thus, time-varying diffusion conditions are explicitly introduced into the source contribution inversion framework, achieving stable separation and reliable attribution of source contributions.