The invention relates to the technical field of industrial production management, and provides a multi-stage product production process decision-making method and
system based on
dynamic planning, and the method comprises the steps: carrying out the sampling of spare and accessory parts, semi-finished products and finished products through employing a sequential probability ratio
inspection method, determining the defective rate of each stage of products, calculating the mathematical expectation of the defective rate of a
confidence interval, and carrying out the calculation of the defective rate. The actual defective rate is obtained; based on the actual defective rate, determining an optimal production
decision scheme through a
dynamic planning model; wherein the construction step of the
dynamic planning model comprises the following steps of: for a multi-process production process, simplifying processes into a plurality of regions through a region division method, constructing an objective function by taking part detection before
assembly, semi-finished product detection after
assembly, finished product detection after
assembly and disqualified semi-finished product and finished product disassembly as decision variables and taking the regions as units, and constructing the dynamic planning model according to the objective function; and deducing a defective rate
state transition equation of semi-finished products and finished products. The decision-making problem in multi-process production can be effectively solved, and
global optimization is achieved.