The invention relates to the technical field of hydrological analysis and calculation, particularly discloses a
flood forecasting method based on structure optimization of a full storage and runoff
production model, and aims at overcoming the structural defects of a traditional Xinanjiang model, so that the simulated
water circulation process is more fit with the actual situation of a
drainage basin by improving runoff production, runoff
discharge and a multi-source confluence module of the model. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, introducing an infiltration model related to the
soil water content in the aspect of a mixed runoff production mechanism, and deducing a calculation formula of the real-time infiltration capacity of a
drainage basin based on a
soil water storage capacity curve; secondly, a dynamic outflow and confluence module with a complete theoretical basis is constructed in combination with a water tank outflow and motion wave theory; by the adoption of the
flood forecasting method based on structure optimization of the full storage runoff
production model, the optimized model can more accurately reflect the hydrological process of dynamic change, can be better applied to runoff forecasting work under different scenes, and can greatly reduce the requirement for forecasting experience of technicians.