The application discloses a method for evaluating ship riding wave probability in
irregular waves based on AIS data, which comprises the following steps: 1, establishing a probability density function of ship
density based on ship AIS data; 2, selecting a representative
route and multiple test points at equal intervals, and obtaining the probability of occurrence of a specific random
sea state in a target sea area according to a wave scatter diagram of a sea area near the test points; 3, calculating the riding wave probability of a ship in
random waves; 4, calculating the riding wave probability of a ship in a specific irregular wave of a
test point of the representative
route in
random waves; 5, calculating the riding wave probability of the ship under each random
sea state of the
test point, and calculating the riding wave probability of the ship of other test points according to the same steps. The application solves the related problem of solving the riding
wave motion of a ship in
irregular waves, can predict the probability of the riding
wave motion of the ship in
irregular waves, the calculation result can directly obtain the riding
wave motion probability of the ship in irregular
waves, the solving precision is high, the efficiency is high, and the application is suitable for various ship types.