The present invention provides a prediction method of a gas emission rate. The method comprises the steps of: 1. arranging a gas sensor, performing real-time monitoring of gas concentrations, and transmitting data to a database to calculate and store a gas emission rate; 2. extracting safety gas emission rates in the database, constructing a gas emission rate prediction model, performing gas emission rate prediction of input parameters according to the gas emission rate prediction model, and outputting a predicted value; 3. comparing the predicted value with a real-time monitoring value, forming error analysis, and updating the gas emission rate prediction model; and 4. repeatedly performing the steps 1-3, and performing real-time monitoring of the gas emission rate. Through adoption of high non-linear mapping of a neural network model and an Matlab language computing environment, data in the data is extracted in real time to correct the gas emission rate data model, and therefore, predicted errors are small, the prediction is more scientific and accurate, and scientization and quantification guidance is provided for avoiding outburst of gas.