The application relates to a high-precision prediction method for dynamic selection and graph structure adaptive fusion of multi-source weather forecasts for turning weather, relates to the technical field of meteorological
information processing and intelligent prediction, and utilizes a graph
convolution method to perform
information transmission between
modes, so that a nonlinear and adaptive
fusion mechanism is realized. Through dynamic adjustment of edge weights and optimization of
convolution weights, complementary information of different
modes is fully utilized, and the prediction precision and local feature capturing capability are improved. Considering prediction uncertainty, historical performance and observation consistency, an interpretable confidence index is formed. For a low-confidence area, mode expansion or edge weight correction is automatically triggered,
adaptive optimization of the prediction result is realized, and the robustness and reliability of the
system are improved. Multi-source numerical mode output, real-time observation and turning weather characteristics are formed into a unified input
system, comprehensive
information support is provided for
mode selection and fusion, data utilization efficiency is improved, and high-precision prediction can still be realized under complex weather conditions.