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363results about How to "Prediction is simple" patented technology

Method and system of prediction of time series data

The invention provides a method and system of the prediction of time series data. The method comprises the steps that wavelet decomposition is conducted on the sequence formed by t-1 moment data, n subsequences are obtained; stationary detection is conducted on n subsequences respectively; for non-stationary time series, an advance learning LSTM model is built using the t-1 moment data, and the values of t moment are predicted respectively, and forecasts of the non-stationary part are obtained by summing; similarly, for stationary sequences, ARMA models are respectively built and the values of t moment are predicted, and the forecasts on stationary part are obtained by summing; finally the prediction values of the non-stationary part and the stationary part at t moment are summed, to obtain the final forecast value. By the method and system of the prediction of time series data, by wavelet decomposition, the advantages of LSTM and ARMA are combined, in comparison with traditional methods, better effects are provided in dealing with non-stationary time series. In addition, by benefiting from the unique LSTM structure in the model, the forecasting and the generalization ability of the method is better, and the method is suitable for time series prediction in various fields.
Owner:XIANGTAN UNIV

Operator guiding system

A base station is installed in a predetermined area where a large number of target points are studded around the station. When the operator moves a mobile station around the base station, display means is provided for both or either of the base station that guides the operator and the mobile station, and a display screen of the display means displays 2 kinds of a Forward (foreground) mode and a Back (background) mode. In the Forward (foreground) mode, the display screen of the display means displays a landscape in a forward direction (opposite direction to the mobile station by 180° when seen from the base station) of the operator (mobile station) when the operator sees the base station from the current position of the mobile station, or from the next target point if the operator reaches the next target point. In the Back (backward) mode, the display screen of the display means displays the landscape in a backward direction (direction of the operator and the mobile station when seen from the base station) of the operator (mobile station) when the operator sees the base station from the current position of the mobile station, or from the next target point if the operator reaches the next target point. The relationship between the mobile station and the next target point is displayed on an imaginary landscape in an imaginary manner so that the operator can see the direction and distance for movement.
Owner:KK TOPCON

Electromechanical device nonlinear failure prediction method

The invention relates to an electromechanical device nonlinear failure prediction method, comprising the following steps: 1, obtain data which can represent the running state of a device and select a section continuous vibration signal which has a long course and is sensitive to the failure to analyze; 2, respectively carry out exceptional value elimination and missing data filling to the vibration data by a 3 sigma method and an interpolation method; 3, carry out noise reduction to the vibration signal by a lifting wavelet method; 4, decompose the vibration signal after the noise reduction to corresponding characteristic bandwidths; 5, obtain a low dimension manifold character by utilizing a typical predicted characteristic bandwidth and adopting a nonlinear manifold learning method through decoupling of topological mapping and non-failure energy information; 6, carry out intelligent failure prediction with long course trend in a time domain by utilizing a recurrent neural network which has the dynamic self-adaptive characteristic and a first dimension of the low dimension manifold character as a neural network input. The lifting wavelet method is adopted in the invention, the algorithm is simple, the arithmetic speed is high, and the used memory is less, thereby being suitable for the characteristic bandwidth abstraction of failure character. The electromechanical device nonlinear failure prediction method can be widely applied to the failure prediction of all kinds of electromechanical devices.
Owner:BEIJING INFORMATION SCI & TECH UNIV

Sharing bike attraction and generation prediction method based on ARIMA

The present invention discloses a sharing bike attraction and generation prediction method based on an ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model). The method comprises the following stepsof: 1) collecting GPS positioning data of static parking positions of available bikes in an area, and continuously performing collection for assigned days; 2) obtaining geographic information data oftraffic zones in the area; 3) matching geographical location information of the sharing bikes to each traffic zone; 4) establishing a sharing bike trip total sample; 5) establishing a sharing bike available bike distribution spatial and temporal distribution thermodynamic chart, and a space thermodynamic chart of the number of times of attraction and generation of each zone; 6) establishing a timesequence of the number of travel times of each zone; 7) establishing an ARIMA prediction model after parameters are calibrated; and 8) predicting a sharing bike trip of each traffic zone in a next time aggregation interval. The demand prediction method employs position data of bikes to sense time-space features of the sharing bikes in a city and performs prediction of the time sequence so that adata support is provided for operation, management and scheduling of the sharing bikes.
Owner:SOUTHEAST UNIV

Method for discovering congestion points, congestion lines and congestion areas based on composite network

The invention belongs to the field of traffic condition prediction, and relates to a method for discovering congestion points, congestion lines and congestion areas based on a composite network. The composite network in the method is composed of two or more sub networks and connecting edges between the sub networks. The sub networks are independent networks constituting the composite network. Thecomposite network includes an intersection network and a sensor network. The sensor network takes traffic sensors at intersections as nodes, and the sensors are related by connecting edges. The intersection network takes intersections as nodes, and connecting edges are established according to whether the intersections can be connected. On the basis of the intersection network, the definitions ofa congestion index, a congestion point, a congestion line and a congestion area are given. Calculation is carried out based on the network structure. The method specifically comprises the steps as follows: first, defining a congestion index Ti, a congestion point, a congestion line and a congestion area; then, quantifying the congestion level; and finally, analyzing and calculating congestion points, congestion lines and congestion areas. The method is designed ingeniously, has good operability and practicability, and has a wide market prospect.
Owner:QINGDAO UNIV
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