The invention discloses a scientific and technological achievement analysis and prediction method and
system based on
big data, and relates to the technical field of
machine learning and
big data analysis, and the method comprises the steps: collecting and preprocessing multi-source scientific and technological achievement semantic data, and constructing a scientific and technological concept
relation graph; the method comprises the following steps: performing training by taking a
time sequence diagram convolutional network as a basic framework and taking a scientific and technological concept
relation graph as a training sample, constructing a dynamic knowledge flow semantic model, performing evolution
feature extraction on the scientific and technological concept
relation graph by utilizing the dynamic knowledge flow semantic model, and outputting a knowledge flow
feature vector; and inputting the causal enhanced space-time diagram into a space-time diagram neural network, aggregating
semantic association and causal relationships among the scientific and technological achievements in a space dimension, capturing a dynamic change mode of scientific and technological achievement characteristics in a time dimension, and outputting a scientific and technological concept
time sequence predicted value sequence. According to the method, the causal enhancement space-time diagram is constructed, so that trend deduction and causal
traceability analysis are carried out for the time dimension, and the accuracy of scientific and technological achievement development
trend prediction is improved.