The invention relates to the technical field of supply chain risk management, and particularly discloses a comprehensive risk early warning method and
system fusing a supply chain graph and
machine learning, and the method comprises the steps: collecting supply chain multi-
modal heterogeneous data and prior risk knowledge, dynamically constructing and updating a sequential supply chain
knowledge graph, and carrying out the early warning of the risk of a supply chain. Performing node-level, edge-level and
system-level multi-level
anomaly detection, generating an anomaly
score and a network
vulnerability index, when the anomaly
score exceeds a dynamic threshold value, deducing risk propagation and node sweep probability by improving an SEIR model, calculating a dynamic fusion weight in combination with
data source authority and the like, and performing weighted fusion on multi-dimensional indexes to generate a comprehensive risk
score, and dynamically adjusting a threshold value to generate graded early warning, an optimization model, a map and a priori
knowledge base. According to the method, the defects of
lag, isolation and stiffness of a traditional method can be overcome, risk
perception in advance, comprehensive coverage and accurate early warning are achieved, the method has the self-evolution capacity, the method adapts to dynamic changes of a supply chain, and powerful support is provided for safety and stability of an industrial chain.