The present invention relates to the technical field of aircraft
test design, and in particular to an aircraft
sequential test design method based on an overall improvement criterion of an expected probability box, specifically comprising the following steps: S1, initial
test design, obtaining a sample set that affects the output results in the aircraft test; S2, establishing a proxy model using a
Gaussian process regression model based on information from a known sample set D; S3, on the basis of the established proxy model, determining the next
test sample point based on a sampling criterion corresponding to the overall improvement of the expected probability box; S4, calculating the true response of the aircraft at the
test sample point and updating the sample set; S5, determining whether the test stopping criterion is met, and if so, outputting the final proxy model; if not, repeating the operations of S2-S5. The present invention can quantify the uncertainty in the aircraft test, select the most valuable sample points in combination with the sampling criterion of the overall improvement of the probability box, so as to improve the overall accuracy of the proxy model and provide a more reliable basis for aircraft design.