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54 results about "Fuzzy probability" patented technology

In general, fuzzy probabilities are induced by fuzzy data and may be determined by (a) employing the concept of cardinality of fuzzy sets, and (b) using fuzzy arithmetic to compute the ratios, products and sums of counts of elements in such sets.

Fuzzy probability comprehensive judgment-based battery state-of-health estimation method

InactiveCN109061516AHigh efficiency of health assessmentEasy to implementElectrical testingLithium iron phosphateState of health
A fuzzy probability comprehensive judgment-based battery state-of-health estimation method belongs to the technical field of lithium iron phosphate battery estimation and aims to solve the problems that the state-of-health of a single battery cannot be ensured by a traditional health estimation technology to cause that the lifetime of a battery pack is remarkably reduced. The fuzzy probability comprehensive judgment-based battery state-of-health estimation method comprises the steps of obtaining estimation data by charge-discharge experiment on a battery to be estimated; obtaining a relation between a state-of-charge (SOC) value and a voltage during the charge-discharge process of the battery; performing normalization on voltage values of the battery under different SOCs, and then taking the voltage values as a state-of-health judgment object of each single battery; calculating an index weight forming an evaluation index coefficient, and determining the state-of-health of each single battery according to a maximum probability principle; and determining the state-of-health of the lithium iron phosphate battery pack by fuzzy comprehensive judgment according to a maximum membership principle. By health estimation on the grouped battery pack, the initialization performance of the battery pack can be greatly improved.
Owner:HARBIN UNIV OF SCI & TECH

Fuzzy entropy-based noisy signal processing method and iterative singular spectrum soft threshold denoising method

The invention discloses a fuzzy entropy-based noisy signal processing method and an iterative singular spectrum (SSA) soft threshold denoising method. The method is suitable for noisy signals. Assuming that the noisy signal of length N xin = {x1, x2, ..., xN} and assuming that the additive white noise therein is uncorrelated with the signal, a d-dimensional vector is constructed and the similarityand fuzzy probability are defined by utilizing an original signal xin; a (d + 1)-dimensional vector is constructed and the corresponding similarity and fuzzy probability are defined by the same method; and the fuzzy entropy is defined in the drawing of the description. For components obtained by utilizing a known signal decomposition method, the singular spectrum distribution of all the components is defined as a fuzzy entropy spectrum. The fuzzy entropy for quantifying the complexity of the system in a chaos theory is utilized to characterize a noise plane and provide a more effective path for the processing of the noisy signal; the fuzzy entropy spectrum-based iterative singular spectrum (SSA-IST) soft threshold denoising method has the denoising performance better than that of the traditional truncated singular spectrum method, and wavelet transform and empirical mode decomposition denoising method.
Owner:DANYANG HUASHEN ELECTRIC APPLIANCE CO LTD

Combined type pavement usability performance evaluation method for underground road

ActiveCN102663252AImprove accuracyComplex mathematical operationsRisk levelPavement Condition Index
The invention relates to a road usability performance evaluation technology, in particular to a combined type pavement usability performance evaluation method for an underground road, which can combine randomnesss with fuzzification and can accurately evaluate road condition. In order to realize the aims, according to the technical scheme adopted by the invention, the combined type pavement usability performance evaluation method for the underground road comprises the following steps: collecting the following road condition indexes: PCI (pavement condition index), RQI (riding quality index), PSSI (pavement structure strength index) and SRI (skid resistance index); computing information distribution values at sample points; computing fuzzy probability distribution of pavement usability performance in the probability theory field; confirming fuzzy and random risks of the pavement usability performance in regions; computing comprehensive fuzzy and random risk level of the pavement usability performance; outputting a module through data; and judging level of pavement usability performance evaluation. The combined type pavement usability performance evaluation method provided by the invention is mainly applied to the road usability performance evaluation.
Owner:TIANJIN MUNICIPAL ENG DESIGN & RES INST

Perturbation principle-based fuzzy reliability analysis method

The invention discloses a perturbation principle-based fuzzy reliability calculation method containing a fuzzy random variable, and is applied to the field of reliability. The objective of the invention is to solve the problem of structural function non-linear fuzzy random reliability. A perturbation theory and a fuzzy decomposition theory are used for carrying out perturbation quantization on fuzzy random variables, fuzzy characteristic parameters of the fuzzy random variables of the structure are expressed as the sum of true values and fuzzy perturbation microscale of the fuzzy characteristic parameters, the fuzzy characteristic parameters are decomposed into a series of interval quantities under horizontal truncation, the interval quantities are equivalent to random variables, and a mean value and a standard deviation are obtained through calculation. And meanwhile, equivalent selection is carried out on perturbation microscale. Secondly, decomposing the fuzzy probability density function and the fuzzy function function of the structure into interval quantities under a series of horizontal truncation sets, and performing Taylor series expansion on upper and lower limit values ofthe interval quantities to obtain perturbation values of the joint probability density function and the structure function; And finally, according to the definition of the structure reliability, introducing a sigmoid function as a step function by using a direct integration method, and solving to obtain a fuzzy reliability interval. Compared with a traditional convex set method, the reliability interval obtained through calculation is narrower under the same confidence level, and engineering application is more convenient.
Owner:INNER MONGOLIA UNIV OF TECH

Medium-voltage power distribution network weak link identification method based on risk assessment

The invention belongs to the technical field of power distribution risk evaluation and power distribution risk identification, and particularly relates to a medium-voltage power distribution network weak link identification method based on risk evaluation. Compared with a traditional risk assessment method, the invention innovatively provides a new modeling method combining a fuzzy model and a traditional probability distribution model. A hybrid fuzzy probability model of a system peak load is provided aimed at the problems of heavy overload of a distribution network medium-voltage line, heavyoverload of a transformer area distribution transformer and the like. On the basis of the traditional Monte Carlo simulation method, a risk index fuzzy membership function construction method and risk index defuzzification are provided, and the risk degree of the distribution network system is measured through the specific quantity value of the risk index after defuzzification, so that the identification of the weak link of the distribution network is realized. The method provided by the invention can help a power supply company to analyze the risk degree of the urban distribution network system and identify the weak link of the distribution network system, thereby providing a valuable theoretical basis for distribution network generation decision.
Owner:ELECTRIC POWER RES INST OF GUANGXI POWER GRID CO LTD

Intelligent prediction method for meandering river sedimentary microfacies

PendingCN110554432ARealize intelligent predictionSeismic signal processingAlgorithmFuzzy probability
The invention discloses an intelligent prediction method for meandering river sedimentary microfacies, which comprises the following steps of: extracting waveform, amplitude and wave impedance data indifferent frequency band ranges, and generating five earthquake combination characteristics according to the protocol that a given time window is divided into three sections to carry out combinationcharacteristic on the earthquake attribute of a current point; constructing a machine learning sample library through selection of an optimal time window; according to the method, by means of a randomforest MDI method, evaluating the sample features, and performing fuzzy probability prediction on the microfacies of the optimized sample features through a random forest algorithm, then performing overlapping display on the high-probability results of each microphase, thereby acquiring a prediction result of the microfacies. Compared with the prior art, the method has the advantages that the problem that the distribution rule of each sedimentary microfacies on a plane cannot be accurately reflected due to a large well distance is solved, a sedimentary microfacies prediction model is established through sedimentary microfacies sample data construction and a random forest machine learning method, and intelligent prediction of the sedimentary microfacies of the meandering river is realized.
Owner:CHINA PETROLEUM & CHEM CORP +1

Three-dimensional trapezoid fuzzy method for calculating power generation of water-cooled photovoltaic photothermal integrated system

The embodiment of the invention discloses a three-dimensional trapezoid fuzzy method for calculating the power generation of a water-cooled photovoltaic photothermal integrated system, and the method is used for solving a technical problem that a calculation method of daily power generation of a new energy user distributed photovoltaic power generation system does not comprehensively consider uncertainty and randomness of influence factors and the applicability, practicality and application of the calculation method are difficult to satisfy in the prior art. The method of the embodiment of the invention comprises the steps of introducing a generalized three-dimensional trapezoid fuzzy set concept and a calculation method in considering uncertainty, randomness and fuzziness of sunlight intensity, a sunshine duration, a sunshine shadow, a sunshine angle of inclination and the like, and calculating the power generation of the water-cooled photovoltaic-photothermal power generation system based on fuzzy probability analysis with an assumption that the parameters of the sunlight intensity, the sunshine duration, the sunshine shadow, the sunshine angle of inclination and the like and a user battery energy storage event obey a generalized three-dimensional trapezoid fuzzy distribution rule.
Owner:GUANGDONG UNIV OF TECH

Method for tracking maximum power point of photovoltaic cell on basis of fuzzy probability

The invention discloses a method for tracking the maximum power point of a photovoltaic cell on the basis of fuzzy probability. The tracking method comprises the steps that N sampling points [ui, P(ui)] are obtained by taking epsilon as a sampling interval, wherein i is a positive integer which is smaller than or equal to N, epsilon ranges from 0.05 UOC / Ns to 0.5 UOC / Ns, UOC represents the open-circuit voltage of the photovoltaic cell, and Ns represents the serial number of the photovoltaic cell; probability functions Pro(i) are solved by constructing a spread function fD and a subordinating degree function fM, results of the probability functions Pro(i) are ordered from large to small, and union sets of Xi corresponding to front probabilities are sequentially selected as the searching range of the maximum power point, so that the sum of the front probability functions Pro(i) is larger than or equal to a probability threshold value delta; the maximum power point[uMPP, P(uMPP)] is solved in the searching range of the maximum power point. According to the method, the defect that close sampling is needed in a global scanning method under the multi-extremum condition is overcome, and the advantages of being high in tracking speed and good in environmental adaptability are achieved.
Owner:HUAZHONG UNIV OF SCI & TECH

N-dimensional trapezoidal fuzzy set method and device for calculating output power of photovoltaic-photothermal integration system

The embodiment of the invention discloses a n-dimensional trapezoidal fuzzy set method and device for calculating the output power of a photovoltaic-photothermal integration system, which are used for solving technical problems in the prior art that calculation for the daily generating capacity of a new energy distributed photovoltaic power generation system does not comprehensively consider the uncertainty and randomness of influence factors and that the applicability and the practicability of the calculation method are difficult to be met. The method disclosed by the embodiment of the invention comprises the steps of introducing a generalized n-dimensional trapezoidal fuzzy set concept and a calculation method thereof when the sunshine intensity, the sunshine duration, the sunshine shadow and the sunshine inclination angle are considered, assuming that parameters such as the sunshine intensity, the sunshine duration, the sunshine shadow and the sunshine inclination angle and an energy storage and charging event of a user battery all obey a generalized n-dimensional trapezoidal fuzzy distribution law, and calculating the daily generating capacity of the new energy user distributed photovoltaic power generation system on the basis of fuzzy probability analysis.
Owner:GUANGDONG UNIV OF TECH

Daily generation fuzzy probability calculation method and device for photovoltaic power generation system

The embodiments of the invention disclose a daily generation fuzzy probability calculation method and device for a photovoltaic power generation system, which are used for solving the technical problems that the daily generation calculation method for a distributed photovoltaic power generation system does not comprehensively consider uncertainty and randomness of influence factors and the applicability, practicability and application of the calculation method are difficult to meet in the prior art. The method comprises: according to daily generation data of the photovoltaic power generation system, calculating an n-dimensional generalized trapezoidal fuzzy set for determining daily generation fuzzy uncertainty of the photovoltaic power generation system; calculating an n-dimensional generalized trapezoidal fuzzy set of time period generation of the photovoltaic power generation system according to the influence of sunshine intensity, sunshine temperature rise, sunshine shadow and sunshine deflection angle on the photovoltaic power generation system; calculating the daily generation of the photovoltaic power generation system according to the n-dimensional generalized trapezoidal fuzzy set of time period generation of the photovoltaic power generation system; and determining the daily generation fuzzy probability of the photovoltaic power generation system by calculation according to the daily generation of the photovoltaic power generation system.
Owner:GUANGDONG UNIV OF TECH

Electric vehicle discharging electricity price negotiation method based on fuzzy Bayesian learning

The invention relates to an electric vehicle discharging electricity price negotiation method based on fuzzy Bayesian learning, and belongs to the intelligent power grid field. An electric power company and EV agent negotiation function is established, and various parameters are categorized and analyzed. The cost of the electric power company invoking a standby generator unit is used as the maximum value of the electric power company invoking the EV (electric vehicle), and by combining with the power of the electric power company invoking the EV, a relation between the upper limit of the EV invoking acceptable to the electric power company and EV network access power is acquired. Charging price, battery loss, and lowest expected revenue are calculated from the perspective of the EV, and are used as the lower limit of the EV participating in the system scheduling, and then a bilateral negotiation function is established. Another limit value of the electric power company and the EV agent is estimated based on a fuzzy probability idea, and the learning correction of the estimated parameter is carried out based on a fuzzy Bayesian learning model, and the electricity price is acquired by the negotiation function. Under a precondition of considering the benefits of the electric power company, the electricity price acquired by adopting the above mentioned method is closer to a theoretical equilibrium point by comparing with conventional methods, and EV users can gain more benefits, and the behaviors of the users are effectively stimulated during V2G early-stage promotion.
Owner:CHONGQING UNIV

Quality control method and device for geographic national condition monitoring data and terminal equipment

ActiveCN109657907ATimely correction of quality problemsReduce dependenceResourcesPropagation of uncertaintySurveyor
The invention is applicable to the technical field of surveying and mapping geographic information, and provides a quality control method and device for geographic national condition monitoring data and terminal equipment, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining an uncertain event of the geographic national condition monitoring data in a production process and a logic relation between uncertain events; Constructing a Bayesian network-based geographic national condition monitoring data production process error propagation model; Performing fuzzification processing on the error rate of each basic event in the geographic national condition monitoring data production process error propagation model to obtain a fuzzy probability; Based on the fuzzy probability and the conditional probability between the uncertain events, calculating an error rate of the geographic national condition monitoring data; Based on the fuzzy probability and the error rate, calculating fuzzy importance and posterior probability of each basic event; And feeding back the fuzzy importance and the posterior probability of the basic event to the user. The technical problem that a quantitative quality control method is lacked in the prior art is solved.
Owner:THE HONG KONG POLYTECHNIC UNIV SHENZHEN RES INST

Reliability analysis method for high-voltage electrical system of pure electric commercial vehicle

The invention discloses a reliability analysis method for a high-voltage electrical system of a pure electric commercial vehicle. The method comprises the following steps: dividing the high-voltage electrical system of the pure electric commercial vehicle into three subsystems, and building a fuzzy fault tree for each subsystem; dividing each fuzzy fault tree into a function failure mode sub-fault tree and a state degradation mode sub-fault tree; solving the failure probability of the function failure mode sub-fault tree and the importance degree of bottom events according to a fuzzy probability of each bottom event by utilizing a fuzzy mathematical theory and a triangular fuzzy operator; obtaining the fuzzy probability through linguistic variables, and processing the fuzzy probability to obtain a probability when a polymorphic bottom event is in a failure state; solving a failure probability of the state degradation mode sub-fault tree, and combining the failure probability of the function failure mode sub-fault tree and the failure probability of the state degradation mode sub-fault tree to obtain the reliability of each subsystem. According to the invention, the fault diagnosis time is saved, and theoretical guidance is provided for reliability design of a high-voltage electrical system of a pure electric commercial vehicle.
Owner:GUILIN UNIV OF ELECTRONIC TECH +1

Method for determining the daily generating capacity of a distributed type photovoltaic power generation system

The invention discloses a method for determining the daily generating capacity of a distributed type photovoltaic power generation system. The method is carried out through the following steps: obtaining data information on the maximum value, the average value and the minimum value of the sunshine-related parameters at a user's location at all times through a meteorological data platform; obtaining data information on the generating capacity of the distributed type photovoltaic power generation system at all times through a local data monitoring center; obtaining data information on grid operation through a grid energy management system; assuming that the sunshine-related parameters and the user's battery charging events comply with the general multidimensional trapezoidal fuzzy distribution rules to determine the general multidimensional trapezoidal fuzzy set for the sunshine-related parameters and the battery energy storage charging active power control value; and based on the fuzzy probability analysis, determining the daily generating capacity of the distributed type photovoltaic power generation system. The invention can calculate the generating capacity of a photovoltaic power generation system in a day, and provides necessary technical support for distributed type new energy generation and smart grid dispatching operation.
Owner:GUANGDONG UNIV OF TECH

Micro-grid scheduling method, device and equipment and storage medium

The invention discloses a micro-grid dispatching method, device and equipment and a storage medium. The micro-grid dispatching method comprises the steps of constructing an operation model corresponding to a micro-grid; wherein the operation model represents operation constraints of a distributed power supply, a power flexible load and an energy storage device in the microgrid; acquiring historical prediction error data of distributed power supply output to determine real probability distribution and empirical probability distribution of the distributed power supply output, and constructing a fuzzy probability distribution set of distributed power supply output uncertainty through a distribution robust optimization method based on the real probability distribution and the empirical probability distribution; and constructing a scheduling model meeting scheduling optimization conditions based on the operation model and the fuzzy probability distribution set, so as to schedule the micro-grid by using an optimized scheduling strategy generated by the scheduling model. The scheduling flexibility and accuracy can be improved, the maximum utilization rate of power is ensured, and meanwhile, the calculation time is saved, so that the scheduling efficiency is improved.
Owner:ZHEJIANG HUAYUN INFORMATION TECH CO LTD +1

Evaluation method and device for automobile fuel economy

The invention provides a method and device for assessing economic efficiency of automobile fuel. The method for assessing the economic efficiency of the automobile fuel comprises the steps that a multiple regression model is established; an automobile speed data sequence in travelling of an automobile is acquired, and an acceleration data sequence is acquired according to the automobile speed data sequence; a probability sequence of the fuel economic efficiency is obtained according to the automobile speed data sequence, the acceleration data sequence, the multiple regression model and a fuzzy probability mapping mode; each fuel economic efficiency probability in the fuel economic efficiency probability sequence is successively compared with a preset probability threshold, so that comparison results are obtained; and the automobile fuel economic efficiency is assessed according to the comparison results. By the method and the device provided by the invention, automobile fuel non-economic courses in the automobile travelling can be effectively recognized; the automobile fuel economic efficiency can be assessed according to automobile travelling data information corresponding to the non-economic courses of the automobile fuel; and automobile driving experience is improved.
Owner:NEUSOFT CORP
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