The invention relates to the technical field of chemical environment assessment, and discloses a regional influence assessment method for chemical
sewage discharge. The method comprises the following steps: acquiring historical
discharge data and regional environment
monitoring data of a chemical
sewage discharge source, generating a historical influence
data set, extracting characteristic parameters, and establishing a trend change
characteristic matrix; a multi-dimensional influence space is constructed, and a feature early warning index set is determined by calculating the state aggregation degree of historical
pollution events; a regional environment digital twinborn model is constructed, real-time emission and environment
monitoring data collected by a sensor are synchronized, an environment state is simulated in the model, and potential influences are predicted. Extracting real-time characteristic parameters according to the real-time emission data, establishing a
state vector, calculating spatial position correlation with the characteristic early warning index set, and determining a real-time risk
correlation factor; and combining the historical characteristic parameter set and the trend change
characteristic matrix to generate an influence probability prediction model, predicting a regional influence probability, and generating a graded early warning
signal when the regional influence probability exceeds a threshold value.