The invention discloses a
storm surge forecasting method combining empirical
orthogonal decomposition and
deep learning, and belongs to the field of ocean
storm surge forecasting. The method comprises the following steps: a, determining a
wind field area according to the position of a forecast ocean
station and the like; b, collecting and arranging a 10-meter wind distance flat
data matrix from the reanalysis
data set, and collecting observed
storm surge data from the ocean
station; c, performing empirical
orthogonal decomposition on the
data matrix to obtain a main
modal matrix and a main component matrix; d, taking a principal component in the principal component matrix as a forecast factor, taking the storm water increase data as a forecast quantity, and constructing a sample
library; carrying out model training to obtain a long-
short term memory neural network forecasting model; and e, collecting a 10-meter wind distance flat
data matrix for future forecasting, calculating a principal component value, and substituting the principal component value into the forecasting model to obtain future
storm surge data. According to the method, the precision of storm water increase forecasting can be improved, and compared with the actual observation value of storm water increase, the calculated
root mean square error is low.