The invention discloses a campus carbon emission prediction and dynamic regulation and control method. The method comprises the steps of
data acquisition and preprocessing,
feature engineering, static modeling,
time sequence prediction, dynamic regulation and control and feedback optimization. The method comprises the following steps: collecting multi-source heterogeneous data such as campus personnel density,
equipment use, space classification and
meteorology, constructing a regional carbon
emission intensity function by using an XGBoost regression model, and capturing a static nonlinear relationship; and learning a historical carbon emission sequence by using an LSTM network, predicting the carbon emission trend in the next 24 hours, and identifying peaks and anomalies. And on the basis of comparison between the prediction result and a threshold value, differential regulation and control strategies for the teaching area, the dormitory area and the canteen area are generated, and equipment control and personnel behavior guidance are executed through the BAS
system and the mobile terminal. On-line learning is carried out by using actually measured data and prediction deviation,
model parameters are optimized, and a prediction-regulation-feedback
closed loop is formed. According to the method, aiming at campus functional area heterogeneity and personnel flow characteristics, high-precision prediction and active intervention are realized, the carbon emission
peak value is reduced, the energy efficiency is improved, and
sustainable development is supported.