The invention discloses a photovoltaic
generating capacity prediction method based on a fuzzy EBF (Elliptical
Basis Function) network. The photovoltaic
generating capacity prediction method comprises the following steps of: selecting the
influence factor of a photovoltaic
generating capacity, collecting the historical data of the
influence factor of the photovoltaic generating capacity and photovoltaic generating capacity historical data corresponding to the historical data of the
influence factor of the photovoltaic generating capacity, and determining a sample set; generating the historical data of the influence factor of the photovoltaic generating capacity in a training sample set into an input vector, taking the photovoltaic generating capacity historical data corresponding to the historical data of the influence factor of the photovoltaic generating capacity as an output vector, carrying out normalization
processing, and determining a training sample; utilizing the training sample to
train the fuzzy EBF network through a Levenberg-Marquardt
algorithm, collecting the influence factor data of the photovoltaic generating capacity of a day to be predicted, generating a prediction input vector, carrying out the normalization
processing, inputting the prediction input vector into the trained fuzzy EBF network to obtain a photovoltaic generating capacity prediction output vector, and carrying out reverse normalization
processing on the prediction output vector to obtain a prediction photovoltaic generating capacity vector of the day to be predicted. By use of the photovoltaic generating capacity prediction method, the prediction accuracy of the photovoltaic generating capacity is improved.