The invention relates to the technical field of intelligent traffic, and discloses a method and
system for predicting
traffic flow and a storage medium. The method comprises the steps of obtaining multi-source
dynamic data of a mountainous area road network, constructing a road
network connection relation model, extracting flow transfer characteristics and transfer dynamic fluctuation characteristics between nodes, performing
time sequence trend analysis on a historical data sequence of a flow transfer path, and predicting a transfer influence range caused by road network state change; and when the transfer influence range exceeds a preset range threshold value, screening an affected road subset, generating a flow transfer
spatial distribution map, updating weight parameters of the road
network connection relation model, performing flow offset
simulation, determining adjusted road
network connection state characteristics, performing geospatial mapping on the road network connection state characteristics, and obtaining a flow transfer
spatial distribution map of the road network connection relation model. And extracting a
traffic flow quantitative index, and outputting a
traffic flow prediction result when a preset congestion risk condition is satisfied. According to the invention, the accuracy and pertinence of mountain road network traffic flow prediction can be improved.