This invention provides a method and
system for agricultural product
quality assessment and environmental decision-making based on a
causal model, relating to the fields of agricultural product preservation and supply chain environmental control. The method includes: acquiring
environmental data of the environment in which the agricultural product is located; determining respiratory characteristic parameters characterizing the
respiration state of the agricultural product based on changes in
oxygen and
carbon dioxide concentrations; pre-constructing a
causal model based on agricultural product category information; performing
causal inference using the respiratory characteristic parameters and
environmental data as inputs to obtain the remaining
shelf life under current environmental conditions; determining target environmental conditions based on a preset preservation strategy, and inputting the target environmental conditions as intervention variables into the
causal model for
inference to obtain the expected remaining
shelf life; generating a quality damage index based on the remaining
shelf life and the expected remaining shelf life, and generating environmental control strategy information. This invention, by introducing a causal model and intervention
inference mechanism, achieves
quantitative assessment of changes in agricultural product quality and generates environmental control decisions.