The invention relates to the diversion risk analysis technology of construction of hydraulic and hydroelectric
engineering, and discloses a method for detecting the risk rate of high
arch dam construction in the early-middle period, which features that the risk rate of high
arch dam construction in the early-middle period is accurately and reasonably quantify, and the risk rate of high
arch dam construction in the early-middle period is quantified to provide important theoretical basis for
safety risk assessment, decision-making and distribution of diversion risk in
flood season. The method includes the following steps: a, carrying out
simulation analysis of the mid-term flood retardation and obtaining the data of the flood retardation; b, performing construction of a high arch dam
mathematical model of medium-term diversion risk; c, carrying out
parameter analysis on random factor of construction flood and diversion tunnel
discharge capacity, and determining distribution parameters ofeach random factor; d, carrying out random
dynamic simulation of flood level change process during
flood control and
flood season; e, carrying out calculation of the early-medium-term diversion riskrate of the high arch dam; f, conducting
risk identification of diversion tunnel design scheme for high arch dam construction. The method is applicable to detection of the early-medium-term diversionrisk rate of the construction of the high arch dam.