This invention discloses a method and
system for calculating the time-varying reliability of cable
corrosion fatigue in cable-stayed bridges. The method includes establishing and validating a finite
element model of the cable-stayed bridge; simulating the
time history of fluctuating wind speeds in the main girder and main
tower using the
harmonic synthesis method; obtaining the cable
stress time history through buffeting analysis; establishing a
probability model of
equivalent stress amplitude and cycle number using the rainflow counting method and Miner's theory; constructing a
probability model of the depth of dangerous pits and
corrosion depth of steel wires under different
corrosion degrees based on measured data; establishing a multi-stage series formula
coupling pit evolution, pit-crack transformation, and crack propagation; constructing a limit state equation with a 2%
wire breakage rate as a threshold; calculating the time-varying reliability of the cable under different wind speeds and corrosion degrees using random sampling; and statistically analyzing the mean and standard deviation of
corrosion fatigue life. This invention accurately reflects the wind-corrosion
coupling and multi-stage
failure mechanism, is computationally reliable, and has strong versatility, making it suitable for safety assessment and life prediction of cables in various types of cable-stayed bridges.