The invention provides a
load spectrum time domain load extrapolation method and device, a medium, a program product and a terminal, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining an original random
load spectrum, and generating a plurality of alternative threshold points; performing GPD fitting on each alternative
threshold point to form a fitting result
library; and the fitting result is checked, the fitting quality index of each
threshold point is calculated, and the optimal threshold is automatically selected based on a multi-criterion decision-making method. A GPD fitting result corresponding to the optimal threshold value is utilized to randomly generate a plurality of extreme loads, and an extreme load
simulation database is constructed; and then performing multiple rounds of
random replacement on the load in the
simulation database to obtain a plurality of
load time domain extrapolation results, and determining a final
time domain extrapolation result through extrapolation error evaluation. According to the method, threshold optimization is realized through multi-criterion decision, and the stability of GPD fitting and the precision of
load time domain extrapolation are effectively improved by combining multiple rounds of
random replacement and error evaluation. And the accuracy and the reliability of extreme
load time domain extrapolation are obviously enhanced.