The present application belongs to the technical field of
complex network propagation control, and specifically relates to a metro
train popular
disease propagation control optimization method based on an agent model and probability search. The present application comprises the following steps: identifying trains and reconstructing a continuous-time car co-
contact network based on
smart card data and operation timetables, establishing an event-driven SEIR propagation
simulation model and taking early
system infection load SIL as a propagation
control effect evaluation index; generating a candidate
train control set and corresponding effect
label data under the constraint of
train control quantity k, and constructing an agent prediction model which is insensitive to train set sequence; initializing a train selection probability distribution, and performing sampling, screening and probability updating in an
iterative search mode to generate a propagation control optimization scheme. The present application can obtain a better train propagation control scheme with a limited
simulation budget under the condition of high propagation
simulation cost and a large number of candidate combinations, thereby improving the popular
disease propagation control efficiency of the
metro system under the budget constraint.