The invention provides a dam body earthquake damage
risk assessment method,
system and equipment, and the method comprises the steps: constructing a numerical model of an assessment object dam body for calculation, and analyzing the relation between the dam body damage degree and the
earthquake intensity under different structure damage indexes through a logarithmic
distribution function model and an incremental
dynamic method; predicting the probability of each earthquake magnitude in the future based on earthquake damage historical data of the region where the dam body is located and a Monte Carlo method;
coupling the relationship between the dam body damage degree and the
earthquake intensity and the probability of occurrence of each earthquake in the future, and calculating the
risk probability of the dam body facing different damage degrees in the future; based on a cloud model
algorithm, evaluating the importance of different structural damage indexes in earthquake damage
risk assessment, and calculating a dam body earthquake damage risk comprehensive probability; finally, the dam body earthquake damage risk is evaluated through the dam body earthquake damage risk comprehensive probability, the cloud model theory is introduced, index
weight analysis is carried out through the
processing uncertainty and the
data conversion capacity of the cloud model theory, and earthquake damage
risk evaluation of the dam body is improved and optimized.