82results about How to "Reasonable prediction" patented technology

A method of predicting the behavior of software agents in a simulated environment involves modeling a plurality of software agents representing entities to be analyzed, which may be human beings. Using a set of parameters that governs the behavior of the agents, the internal state of at least one of the agents is estimated by its behavior in the simulation, including its movement within the environment. This facilitates a prediction of the likely future behavior of the agent based solely upon its internal state; that is, without recourse to any intentional agent communications. In the preferred embodiment the simulated environment is based upon a digital pheromone infrastructure. The simulation integrates knowledge of threat regions, a cognitive analysis of the agent's beliefs, desires, and intentions, a model of the agent's emotional disposition and state, and the dynamics of interactions with the environment. By evolving agents in this rich environment, we can fit their internal state to their observed behavior. In realistic wargame scenarios, the system successfully detects deliberately played emotions and makes reasonable predictions about the entities' future behavior.

The invention relates to a low-permeability reservoir comprehensive geological-engineering classification evaluation method. The method comprises the steps that reservoir geological classification evaluation indexes are constructed, specifically, a gray correlation method is used for obtaining reservoir geological main control factors, influencing the fracturing effect, of a low-permeability reservoir; based on the reservoir geological main control factors, low-permeability reservoir geological classification evaluation indexes are constructed by using a principal component analysis method; reservoir engineering classification evaluation indexes are constructed, specifically, geomechanical main control factors, influencing the fracturing effect, of the low-permeability reservoir are obtained by using a grey correlation method; based on the geomechanical main control factors, low-permeability reservoir engineering classification evaluation indexes are constructed by using an analytic hierarchy process; and according to the classification threshold values of the reservoir geological classification evaluation indexes and the reservoir engineering classification evaluation indexes, reservoir categories are divided. According to the method, comprehensive evaluation is carried out from two aspects of geology and engineering, the fracturing effect of the low-permeability reservoir canbe prejudged and evaluated more scientifically and reasonably, and a more scientific and accurate basis is provided for fracturing well selection and fracturing construction parameter selection.