The invention provides a short-term
wind power prediction method and
system based on dynamic
delay and hierarchical
federated learning, and relates to the technical field of
wind power prediction, and the method comprises the steps: firstly, dynamically adjusting the historical
wind power data timestamps of each surrounding wind power
plant and a target newly-built wind power
plant; performing empirical mode
decomposition, obtaining a component
frequency spectrum through
frequency spectrum analysis, and optimizing the component
frequency spectrum to obtain an optimized frequency spectrum component; the method comprises the steps of constructing a
feature matrix, carrying out multi-scale clustering on the
feature matrix, obtaining multi-channel spectrum component features, improving the
data processing effect, capturing more frequency features, and improving the stability and accuracy of a prediction model. Multi-channel features are input into a self-attention wind power prediction model, and the model is trained through hierarchical
federated learning, so that effective combination of personalized models and global models of a target wind power
plant and surrounding wind power plants is ensured,
data privacy protection is improved, adaptability to a newly-built wind power plant is improved, and wind power prediction efficiency is improved. And the wind power prediction precision is improved.