The present application belongs to the technical field of
mine safety management and control, and specifically discloses a method and
system for predicting the supporting time of a deep broken mine roadway. The method collects geological, indoor mechanical, and field displacement data to form multi-source basic parameters, and constructs a modified
creep analytical model containing four correction terms: blasting disturbance,
structural plane weakening, cross-section size, and ground stress. Based on the modified
creep analytical model, a three-dimensional numerical model is constructed and an analytical equation set is generated. The three-dimensional numerical model generates a
simulation supplementary sample, which is combined with the measured sample to perform a weighted
least squares inversion to calibrate the equation set. Using the
creep rate and the limit total deformation amount as the double boundary conditions, and combining with the surrounding
rock breaking grade switching control priority, the calibrated equation set is used to solve the supporting
exposure limit time and the safety
lag distance. The working condition grade is distinguished during the excavation process, and the supporting time is iteratively updated in stages. The present application realizes objective and quantitative prediction of the supporting time, and takes into account the prediction accuracy and the practicality of the field construction.