The invention discloses a mountain torrent
debris flow early warning method and
system based on multi-
source data comprehensive analysis. And the
monitoring system carries out multi-source monitoring on rainfall, material source and mud level change characteristics of the
ditch domain. The method is based on double-threshold rainfall intensity parameters, a quantitative analysis model of channel mud level and flow, and a blocking and collapsing mechanism of object source deformation. The threshold value of each element is determined according to the disaster history, a disaster
outbreak probability formula is established, and key factor weights are screened through a
random forest algorithm. And data preprocessing is carried out through
cross validation and dynamic adjustment. And substituting
monitoring data into the analysis model, and comprehensively judging the early warning level of the mountain torrent
debris flow. And issuing an early warning
signal of a corresponding level to the object in the threatened area through the
early warning system. After operation, an incremental
random forest method is adopted to update the model through
online learning, data redisk is carried out, and model threshold correction and parameter
inversion analysis are carried out. According to the pre-
warning system, a multi-index combined action comprehensive monitoring and pre-warning
evaluation system for quantitative analysis is established.