The invention discloses a data-driven early-diabetic future diabetes-related
disease progress risk prediction model and a construction method thereof, and the method comprises the steps: collecting clinical index data, including age, gender, BMI, WHR, HOMA-IR, HDL-C, TG, SBP, DBP, SCR and ALT, of early-diabetic patients in a training and
verification queue; using an unsupervised soft clustering method combining dimension reduction based on UMAP, graph clustering and a
Gaussian mixture model to identify the phenotypic heterogeneity of the
prediabetes mellitus; obtaining the probability of the individual
phenotype characteristics, evaluating the association between the probability and the development risk of the future diabetes related diseases in the early stage of diabetes, and constructing a development risk prediction model of the future diabetes related diseases in the early stage of
urine diseases; and performing model optimization and robustness
verification in the
verification queue. According to the method, the heterogeneity of the
prediabetes mellitus can be effectively identified, and accurate
risk stratification and personalized prevention are realized.