The invention provides a forest
insect pest prediction method and
system and a readable storage medium, and relates to the technical field of forest
insect pest prediction.The forest is divided into a plurality of grids, main forest tree types, forest tree characteristics,
soil characteristics and meteorological data of each grid are collected, and scientific assessment and management of
insect pest risks are achieved. The method mainly comprises the following steps: firstly, carrying out characteristic parameter acquisition on grids, and carrying out similar grid group division based on
soil characteristics; secondly, constructing an
insect pest prediction model through a
random forest algorithm, training by utilizing
insect pest data of a sample grid, and predicting
insect pest severity levels of other grids; and finally, analyzing the pest
severity level change of each grid at the current and historical moments, generating an alarm index, and sending out a corresponding
alarm signal according to a preset threshold value. According to the method, the environmental suitability index and the forest
vulnerability index are combined, the insect
attack grade is determined by adopting the expert scoring method, and the insect
attack risk can be effectively monitored and early warned, so that a scientific basis is provided for
forest management.