The application provides an improved type II multiplication distribution
frequency analysis method suitable for zero value hydrological sequence, constructs a mixed
distribution model combining zero value discrete probability function and improved
continuous type II multiplication distribution, introduces an exponential smooth connection coefficient, eliminates zero point singular point and segmented jump; a joint
global optimization algorithm is used to synchronously estimate zero value probability, head and
tail density parameters and the smooth connection coefficient, and an experience calculation mode of traditional mean trial, multi-stage
recursion and linear wiring is abandoned; a design value is directly inverted through the mixed distribution, a conversion link of variation coefficient and skewness coefficient is skipped, and artificial
approximation error and
recursion error are eliminated from the root. The application can directly adapt to zero value, near zero value, dry drought type hydrological sequence, is continuous and derivable in the whole region, is stable in calculation, is high in fitting precision, does not need artificial minimum value correction, and is suitable for
frequency analysis and
engineering design value deduction of non-negative hydrological sequence such as annual runoff, dry flow, rainfall and drought index.