The invention discloses a method for predicting the optical power of an LED device, comprising the following steps: S1. At a constant junction temperature T0, measure the characteristic parameters ki and ko of the LED device according to the change curve of the optical power of the LED device with the input current, wherein , ki is the slope of the change curve of optical power with input current, ko is the intercept of the change curve on the optical power; S2, under constant input current I, according to the change curve of light power of LED device with junction temperature, measure the LED device The characteristic parameter kti and kto, wherein, kti and kto satisfy kt=-ktilnI-kto, kt is the e index coefficient of optical power-junction temperature curve; S3, according to formula Popt=(kiI+ko) exp[-(ktilnI+ kto)(Tj‑T0)], to predict the optical power Popt of the LED device at any junction temperature Tj and input current I. The invention considers the joint influence of junction temperature and input current on optical power, can predict the optical power of LED devices at any junction temperature and input current, and the prediction accuracy of steady-state optical power is improved, and can also be used to predict the dynamics of LED devices Optical power.