This invention relates to the fields of marine
meteorology and navigation, and discloses a method for predicting meteorological factors for ship navigation based on marine meteorological information. This method is used to predict meteorological factors for ship navigation, assess navigation risks, and plan alternative routes. The method includes
processing meteorological data and ship data for a target sea area to obtain historical meteorological
time series and ship
motion response sequences; constructing
state vector trajectories of meteorological factors using historical meteorological data, establishing a dynamic model
library, and obtaining the ship
motion response function to
meteorology based on meteorological and
motion response data; generating deterministic meteorological factor prediction sequences by embedding the current meteorological state into the dynamic model; and constructing stochastic differential equations to generate probabilistic prediction distributions of meteorological factors. This invention integrates data-driven and physical constraints, providing more comprehensive navigation decision support.