The invention discloses a multi-energy cooperative power generation prediction method and
system based on multivariate data fusion, and relates to the technical field of water conservancy and
hydropower engineering, and the method comprises the steps: collecting meteorological, hydrological and load data, executing hour-by-hour alignment and abnormity correction, and building a wind-light-water multi-
source data set; according to a low ebb,
noon and peak division rule, calculating a time-sharing mean value of each
energy source and performing seasonal correction to generate a power generation factor; and executing multi-energy collaborative prediction and scheduling based on the power generation factors, and updating power generation parameters by adopting a rolling
verification and credibility mechanism. According to the method, the
time sequence consistency and reliability of input data are improved, power generation factors are generated through time-sharing mean value calculation and seasonal correction, dynamic modeling and periodic correction of energy output characteristics are achieved, a
dynamic prediction and self-adaptive updating mechanism of wind, light and water
complementation is established, and the power generation efficiency is improved. Therefore, the accuracy and the scheduling response capability of multi-energy cooperative power generation prediction based on multivariate data fusion are improved.