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68 results about "Linear trend" patented technology

Linear trend estimation is a statistical technique to aid interpretation of data. When a series of measurements of a process are treated as a time series, trend estimation can be used to make and justify statements about tendencies in the data, by relating the measurements to the times at which they occurred.

Method for stability analysis of reference point for GNSS automatic deformation monitoring

The invention discloses a method for stability analysis of reference point for GNSS automatic deformation monitoring, which comprises the following steps: calculating the GNSS observation data to obtain the coordinate residual time series of the reference point; detecting and removing rough errors in the coordinate residual time series of the reference point; extracting and removing the linear trend and the cyclical term in the series; conducting interpolation to the time series if there exist missing data in the coordinate residual time series after the removal of the trend and the cyclical term; extracting the common-mode error of the residual time series and removing the common-mode error from each residual series; and finally, using a quantification calculating method to determine whether the remaining residual series follows a normal distribution or not. If it is, then the reference point is regarded as stable; otherwise, instable. According to the invention, it can effectively eliminate the common error of a station, improve the signal-to-noise ratio of the coordinate time series, and finally make the main error of the coordinate time series of the station limited to observed random noise to judge whether the station is stable or not.
Owner:CENT SOUTH UNIV

Method for identifying hydrologic time sequence nonlinear trend

ActiveCN105069309AAccurately identify non-linear trendsSpecial data processing applicationsDecompositionConfidence interval
The invention discloses a method for identifying a hydrologic time sequence nonlinear trend. The method comprises: computing the maximum wavelet decomposition level according to a sequence length, and determining a specific discrete wavelet transformation method; obtaining corresponding sub-sequences at different decomposition levels; computing the wavelet energy density value of each sub-sequence to obtain a wavelet energy density function of a to-be-analyzed hydrologic time sequence; decomposing a white noise sequence by use of a discrete wavelet transform method to obtain a sub-sequence; taking the average value of the wavelet energy density function of each white noise sequence as a standard wavelet energy density function, and obtaining a confidence interval of the standard wavelet energy density function; and comparing the positional relationship between the wavelet energy density value of a to-be-analyzed hydrologic time sequence sub-sequence on the maximum time scale and the confidence interval of the standard wavelet energy density function. By adopting the method for identifying the hydrologic time sequence nonlinear trend, the problems that a wavelet analysis method is short of a reliable hydrologic physical basis in the aspect of hydrologic time sequence trend identification and cannot effectively estimate the significance and uncertainty of the hydrologic sequence nonlinear trend are solved.
Owner:INST OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCI & NATURAL RESOURCE RES CAS

Long-acting slow-release pharmaceutical preparation and preparation method thereof

The invention discloses a long-acting slow-release pharmaceutical preparation. The pharmaceutical preparation contains the following components in percentage by weight: 25%-60% of a water-insoluble or sparingly-soluble drug and 40%-75% of a high-molecular polymer. After the pharmaceutical preparation is subjected to one time of intramuscular injection administration, the rate of a maximum plasma concentration to a minimum plasma concentration in a main release period is less than 5; the slope of a linear trend line of a cumulative release curve is less than 8 under an in-vitro simulated release condition; the daily release amount is less than 8.5%; and the simulated release condition is a buffer solution with the temperature of 37+/-0.5 DEG C and the pH of 6.8-8.4. The prepared long-acting slow-release pharmaceutical preparation has the beneficial effects that an obvious release delay period or a burst release phenomenon are avoided after the administration, the steady state plasma concentration can be rapidly achieved, the plasma concentration with a relatively small fluctuation range can be maintained in several weeks or longer through once administration, and the pharmaceutical preparation can take effect rapidly and has good compliance with a patient.
Owner:AC PHARMA CO LTD

Sea level change nonlinear trend extraction method

The invention relates to a sea level change nonlinear trend extraction method, which comprises the following steps of decomposing a sea level change time sequence by utilizing an empirical mode decomposition method to obtain an intrinsic mode function and a trend term with different frequencies; eliminating a low-frequency false component by using a modal function method, and marking and eliminating a high-frequency noise component by using a frequency divergence method; sequentially carrying out frequency spectrum analysis by adopting a Fourier method to obtain frequencies corresponding to the peak values in each component frequency spectrogram, removing the invalid frequencies according to a Nyquist theorem, and converting the frequencies into periods; obtaining all possible embedded calculation windows, through the singular spectrum analysis, taking the trend term of empirical mode decomposition as a reference, and selecting the trend term with the minimum difference as the final nonlinear trend of the sea level change. According to the method, the automatic selection of the optimal window and the automatic extraction of the optimal sea level change trend can be realized, the adaptability is good, the efficiency is high, the trend extraction is stable, and the influence of the time sequence length is small.
Owner:WUHAN UNIV

Diagnosis method for through-flow stage efficiency abnormality of steam turbine high-pressure cylinder

ActiveCN106908249AIncrease the number of changesStable inlet steam pressureGas-turbine engine testingJet-propulsion engine testingSteam pressureEngineering
The invention discloses a diagnosis method for through-flow stage efficiency abnormality of a steam turbine high-pressure cylinder. The invention studies how to diagnose the cause of abnormal through-flow parameters of a high-pressure cylinder. According to the scheme, the method comprises the following steps: first, testing the influence of temperature change of inlet steam on the through-flow stage efficiency of a high-pressure cylinder, and judging whether there is a steam leakage phenomenon inside the high-pressure cylinder according to the linear trend of expansion of steam in a steam turbine; then, closing the electric doors of extraction steam in all sections of the high-pressure cylinder, measuring the pressure and temperature of inlet steam, exhaust steam and extraction steam in all sections, calculating the ratio of extraction steam pressure to after-stage flow under variable conditions, comparing the extraction steam pressure with the pressure after corresponding through-flow stage; and finally, determining the cause of through-flow stage efficiency abnormality of the high-pressure cylinder. The cause of through-flow stage efficiency abnormality of a steam turbine high-pressure cylinder is diagnosed according to boundary conditions by making use of the expansion characteristics of superheated steam in the steam turbine and the flow characteristics of superheated steam in the channel. The invention fills a technology gap in diagnosis of through-flow stage efficiency abnormality of a steam turbine high-pressure cylinder in our country.
Owner:XIAN THERMAL POWER RES INST CO LTD

Distribution network rapid reconstruction method taking voltage stability into consideration

The invention discloses a distribution network rapid reconstruction method taking voltage stability into consideration. The method comprises the following steps: 1, introducing a rapid and convenient voltage stability factor calculation method reflecting the voltage stability, and constructing an integrated factor minimization optimization model comprising network loss and a voltage stability factor; 2, constructing a rapid and non-iterative linear trend calculation method for reducing enormous time consumed for trend calculation, and based on the trend calculation method, calculating elements needed for the optimization model; and 3, introducing and organically combining individual-dependent parameter setting, an individual-dependent mutation strategy and a successful-parent-selecting framework, for improving a differential evolution algorithm, and constructing a differential evolution algorithm with an individual-dependent mechanism and the successful-parent-selecting framework, for solving distribution network rapid reconstruction taking the voltage stability into consideration. According to the invention, change of the network loss and voltage level in reconstruction can be reflected objectively, through parameter adjustment, grid structures with different significance can be obtained, and guidance is provided for actual operation.
Owner:NANCHANG UNIV

In-situ seismic oscillation prediction model and construction method thereof

The invention relates to an in-situ seismic oscillation prediction model and a construction method thereof, and the construction method comprises the steps: obtaining acceleration recording data of each strong vibration observation station, carrying out the preprocessing of the data, and screening out standard data; removing a linear trend from the screened event record data of each strong vibration observation station, and manually selecting the record data of the first arrival time of the P wave and the S wave; carrying out one-time integration and two-time integration on the vertical acceleration record of each strong vibration observation station in the recorded data so as to respectively obtain a speed time history and a displacement time history; carrying out continuous Butterworth band-pass filter filtering processing on the displacement time history, so as to obtain P wave amplitude early warning parameters Pvall and Paall; calculating a peak velocity PGV and a peak acceleration PGA according to an instrument intensity calculation standard requirement; carrying out correlation fitting on the P-wave amplitude early warning parameters Pvall and Paall, and obtaining a correlation model between the Pvalue and the PGV and a correlation model between the Paall and the PGA. The model improves the reliability of a prediction result.
Owner:INST OF GEOPHYSICS CHINA EARTHQUAKE ADMINISTRATION

Social media network event propagation key time prediction method, system, and medium

The invention belongs to the technical field of online information propagation prediction, and discloses a social media network event propagation key time prediction method, a system, and a medium. The method comprises the steps: carrying out the classification according to different time sequence features of social media network event online information; carrying out smoothing processing on the popularity time sequence with too strong volatility by adopting a Hort linear trend method; recognizing a time interval in which a key node propagated by the preprocessed social media network event occurs; carrying out time window division on the preprocessed time series data, and extracting time series, fluctuation and text emotion features based on online information data; constructing a prediction model training sample, and training a prediction model by adopting an XGBoost algorithm according to the training sample and the number of future time windows; and predicting the occurrence time ofthe key nodes in the event propagation process of the social media network by adopting the trained model. The method can effectively predict the occurrence time of the key node in the event propagation process of the social media network.
Owner:XIDIAN UNIV +1
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