This invention relates to the fields of
artificial intelligence and medical
clinical decision support, specifically a method and
system for predicting postoperative
delirium risk in elderly patients based on
machine learning. The method includes: acquiring
perioperative data of the patient to be predicted, including clinical indicators from the preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative stages; preprocessing and preliminary
feature screening of the data to obtain a structured
feature set; constructing and optimizing a
machine learning-based postoperative
delirium prediction model, forming a modeling pipeline by combining multiple
feature selection methods with a classifier, determining the optimal hyperparameters using
random search and k-fold hierarchical cross-validation, and selecting the best pipeline based on feature
stability assessment and multiple evaluation indicators; training and evaluating the performance of the final model; outputting the postoperative
delirium risk prediction results and providing
model interpretation. This invention is applicable to scenarios such as
perioperative risk assessment of elderly patients, early warning of high-risk patients with postoperative delirium, individualized intervention plan formulation, and clinical auxiliary decision systems, providing reliable
technical support for reducing the incidence of postoperative delirium and optimizing the allocation of medical resources.