The invention relates to the technical field of
natural gas peak shaving operation, in particular to a comprehensive evaluation method for peak shaving schemes of a gas
pipe network and a gas storage. The method comprises the steps of 1, predicting a city gas load: building a city gas load prediction model by adopting an
artificial neural network model, and predicting the city gas load subjected to peak shaving by using a
differential evolution extreme learning machine algorithm, thereby determining a peak shaving quantity; 2, performing peak shaving optimization on the gas storage: according to previous peak shaving operation experience of the gas storage,
fitting out a relational expression of operation parameters of the gas storage and the peak shaving quantity, and obtaining a gas
recovery rate of the gas storage under a certain peak shaving quantity; 3, simulating a peak shaving quantity of the
pipe network, and obtaining preselected peak shaving schemes; and 4, comprehensively evaluating the peak shaving schemes: comprehensively evaluating different peak shaving schemes to obtain an optimal peak shaving scheme. According to the method, the conditions such as peak
gas consumption of users, peak shaving capability of a pipeline, peak shaving capability of the gas storage and the like are comprehensively considered, so that the optimality and scientificity of making and arranging the peak shaving schemes are effectively improved.