The invention discloses a quantitative evaluation method for the ultimate seismic capacity of a
gravity dam. The quantitative evaluation method comprises the steps that S1, a
gravity dam-foundation
system finite
element analysis model considering strength and stable damage at the same time is constructed; s2, scaling a design earthquake to different
earthquake intensity levels by adopting an incremental dynamic
analysis method; s3, carrying out multiple groups of nonlinear dynamic
response analysis to obtain a strong shock response result of the
gravity dam-foundation
system; s4, based on the response result, constructing an evaluation index for representing the anti-seismic performance of the gravity dam-foundation
system; and S5, constructing a broken line graph in which different performance evaluation indexes change along with different
zoom coefficients, and determining the ultimate seismic capacity of the gravity dam according to the
zoom coefficient corresponding to the
maximum slope in the broken line graph. According to the method, gravity dam-foundation system anti-
seismic safety evaluation is developed from a single failure mode and a single index to comprehensive consideration of
multiple failure modes and multiple evaluation indexes, the synergistic effect of
multiple failure mechanisms in actual
engineering is reflected, and a theoretical basis is provided for anti-
seismic safety evaluation and risk management.