This invention provides a method for predicting the remaining service life of metallic components based on magnetic
coercivity, relating to the fields of
materials testing and service life prediction. The method first determines the
coercivity values in the original and failed states of the material to establish a
coercivity reference range. During the component's service life, multi-point in-situ measurements are performed using pulse
magnetization to calculate the current service coercivity value, thereby obtaining a continuous damage severity factor. Then, utilizing the nonlinear relationship between the damage severity factor and the cumulative damage life fraction established through accelerated damage testing, and combining it with component geometric features,
stress distribution, and environmental parameters, a service life prediction model is constructed. Finally, the remaining safe service life is calculated based on the model and service history, and a
confidence interval is provided. Simultaneously, the
test data is stored in a
database for model updates. This achieves continuous quantitative characterization of damage states and reliable prediction of remaining service life.