The invention discloses a three-
gene combination, a primer probe set and a
system for qPCR (quantitative
polymerase chain reaction) rapid screening of
tuberculosis progression risk and application of the three-
gene combination, the primer probe set and the
system. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, screening out candidate genes APOL1, C1QC and SOCS1 which are stable across
time windows and have high prediction performance; then a three-
gene combination scoring you model (PRI3) composed of APOL1, C1QC and SOCS1 is constructed and used for predicting the risk that a
latent tuberculosis infected individual progresses into
active tuberculosis within a set time window; the method comprises the following steps of: firstly, selecting a
reference model (RISK6, Sweeney3, Gliddon4 and BATF2), then performing performance
verification in an independent
verification queue, and comparing with the existing
reference model (RISK6, Sweeney3, Gliddon4 and BATF2), and the result shows that the scoring model disclosed by the invention can keep stable performance in adult
population and multiple
time windows (such as 0-6 months, 0-12 months and 0-24 months). The scheme of the invention is suitable for crowd screening,
disease early warning and individualized intervention decision.