The invention discloses a
wind power prediction method and
system based on
frequency domain adaptive hyper-parameter optimization. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, collecting historical
wind power and meteorological data; secondly, providing a brand new
frequency domain coverage overlapping coefficient as a
fitness function, adaptively optimizing hyper-parameters of
variational mode decomposition in combination with a grey wolf optimization
algorithm, and decomposing a power sequence by using the optimized parameters; thirdly, calculating the
sample entropy of each component, and reconstructing the
sample entropy into a random type, a fluctuation type and a trend type according to entropy values so as to reduce the complexity; then, screening strongly correlated meteorological characteristics for each type of components based on a Pearson's
correlation coefficient, and respectively inputting the meteorological characteristics into a prediction model for prediction; and finally, superposing the predicted values of the components to obtain a final power prediction result. According to the method, the problem of manual setting of VMD hyper-parameters is solved, the balance between
decomposition quality and prediction efficiency is realized, and the precision and practicability of ultra-short-term
wind power prediction are remarkably improved.