The invention discloses an intelligent early warning method for dam safety monitoring data. The method comprises the steps of early warning model establishment, threshold value setting and mutual feedback type early warning. Gross error identification and gross error processing are carried out, model sample data quality is improved, according to the monitoring items, independent variable relevance, historical monitoring data quantity and historical monitoring data distribution, different early warning models and indexes are established, including a stepwise regression model, a correlation vector machine model and a gray system model; the established models can reflect the relationship between the independent variable and the dependent variable more truly and are wide in application range,according to a measuring instrument, measuring point attributes, a threshold value, an early warning model and indexes, real-time early warning is carried out on monitoring data, monitoring instrumentabnormity early warning is sent to monitoring personnel, or dam safety early warning is sent to dam safety management personnel, experts with professional knowledge and rich experience are not needed, the workload is small, the early warning speed is high, and the early warning result is more accurate and reliable.