The invention relates to a cooperative drive hydraulic construction
system failure path identification and calculation method and
system, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining multi-source actual measurement information, and determining the statistical characteristics of random variables; constructing a finite
element model according to the statistical characteristics of the random variables; a random variable set pair is generated by adopting a
random method, structural response quantities of the
hydraulic structure under different random variable settings are obtained through
finite element simulation, and event reliability is calculated according to the structural response quantities; identifying failure paths and
modes according to an event reliability result by adopting an improved
branch and bound method, fitting to obtain a response
surface function of each failure mode, and calculating a
system failure probability based on the response surface functions; and considering the correlation of each failure mode, and calculating the overall
failure probability of the system through a
matrix method. According to the method, the multi-source actual measurement information is integrated, the finite
element model is constructed, the failure path is identified based on the event reliability, and the
failure probability is calculated by overall planning of the failure
modes, so that the failure probability fits the real working condition, and the accuracy and comprehensiveness of calculation are enhanced.