The invention belongs to the technical field of
reservoir water temperature prediction and regulation and control, and particularly discloses an upstream discharged
water temperature prediction and flexible water retaining
curtain wall regulation and control method and
system. According to the method, a physical mechanism of an LSTM
neuron structure is reconstructed, a
water body stratification stability mechanism and a vertical thermal
diffusion mechanism are deeply fused in a
deep learning network, an improved LSTM model can well predict a
water temperature stratification phenomenon of upstream incoming water, and high-precision prediction of vertical
water temperature distribution of a reservoir under a complex meteorological condition is realized. A water temperature mixing model calculation formula is created for the first time, and the problem that the discharged water temperature requirement is difficult to calculate is solved. The vertical water temperature predicted by the improved LSTM is combined with the discharged water temperature inverted by the downstream ecological target, and the optimal water taking elevation is compared and determined, so that accurate lifting regulation and control of the flexible water retaining
curtain wall are guided, the ecological water temperature requirement of a downstream river channel is strictly guaranteed, meanwhile, water resource waste is effectively avoided, and the power generation benefit and the flux
utilization rate of a reservoir are maximized.