The invention discloses a power
plant equipment fault prediction method based on a
time sequence large model, and the method comprises the following steps: S1, collecting and preprocessing the
time sequence data of a multi-source sensor of a power
plant, and generating a standardized
time sequence data set; s2, constructing a time sequence
large model, inputting standardized data, and outputting a future operation state predicted value; s3, comparing the running
state prediction value with an actual measurement value to generate a
prediction residual sequence; s4, constructing a Bayesian neural
network model, inputting a
prediction residual sequence, and outputting error probability distribution; s5, optimizing a Bayesian neural
network structure and hyper-parameters by adopting an
ant colony optimization
algorithm; s6,
confidence interval estimation is executed, and whether the state is a high-risk state or not is judged; and S7, outputting a running state
label, and dynamically acquiring a data closed-loop updating model. According to the invention, high-precision prediction and uncertainty evaluation of the operation state of the power
plant equipment are realized, so that the accuracy and
response time efficiency of fault early warning are improved.