The invention relates to the technical field of medical
informatics and
artificial intelligence technology cross application, in particular to a dynamic intelligent
prediction system for
HIV infected person immune reconstruction insufficiency. Comprising a
data acquisition and management module, a data preprocessing and
feature engineering module, a Bayesian joint modeling core module, a
dynamic prediction calculation module, a multi-dimensional
verification and evaluation module and a clinical application
service module. According to the method, on the basis of large-sample multi-center longitudinal follow-up visit data, a Bayesian shared parameter dynamic joint model is adopted, the dependency relationship between dynamic trajectories of immune indexes such as
cell counting and the like and IIR
occurrence time is captured, real-time risk prediction is achieved through a sequential Bayesian updating mechanism, and through multi-dimensional
verification, the risk prediction accuracy is improved. The method has the advantages that the performance is better than that of an expert-driven model, expert experience pre-judgment and 19 mainstream
machine learning algorithms, an individualized conclusion with a
confidence interval can be output,
clinical decision is assisted, prediction is promoted to be clinical from scientific research, and the method has important application value and popularization prospect.